Next Publication In:
Days: 00
Hours: 00
Minutes: 00
Seconds: 00

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: AS A CASE OF UZBEKISTAN

📘 Volume 7 📄 Issue 4 📅 april 2022

👤 Authors

Akmal Allakuliev, Fayzullokh Sattoriy 1
1. Senior teacher, Statistics, Tashkent State University of Economics

📄 Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between external debt and economic growth in the Uzbekistan during the period 2010â??2020. Two-step Engle and Granger Cointegration method is employed to determine the cointegration relationship between external debt and GDP growth. Our findings show that there is a negative significant relationship between external debt and economic growth. We can also observe that a 1% increase in external debt will lead to a 24% decrease in GDP growth. Also the results of ECM model suggests that if economic shocks and periodic downturn occur in GDP as a result of external debt, then 86.0% will return to its equilibrium in each subsequent short period. This suggests that GDP growth may return to its equilibrium after a period of 1.17 (1/86) from debt crisis and shocks.

🏷️ Keywords

economic growth cointegration debt overhang external public debt error correction model

🔗 DOI

View DOI - (https://doi.org/10.36713/epra9813)

📚 How to Cite:

Akmal Allakuliev, Fayzullokh Sattoriy , THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: AS A CASE OF UZBEKISTAN , Volume 7 , Issue 4, april 2022, EPRA International Journal of Research & Development (IJRD) , DOI: https://doi.org/10.36713/epra9813

🔗 PDF URL

https://cdn.eprapublishing.org/article/947pm_2.EPRA JOURNALS 9813.pdf

📄 PDF Preview

Click the button above to load the PDF.