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IMPACT OF MICROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON BSE SENSEX AND NIFTY: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF INFLATION, GDP, INTEREST RATE, AND EXCHANGE RATE

📘 Volume 12 📄 Issue 7 📅 july 2025

👤 Authors

Mr. Venkata Rao Valluri , Bhukya Manjunath Naik 1
1. Department of Management Studies, Department of management studies, Madanapalle Institute of Technology & Science, Madanapalli , Andhra Pradesh

📄 Abstract

The performance of stock markets reflects a country's economic health and is influenced by various microeconomic variables. This study explores the dynamic relationships between key financial indicators?inflation, gross domestic product (GDP), interest rate, and exchange rate?and the performance of India's two primary stock indices: BSE Sensex and Nifty 50. Using time-series econometric methods, including ADF unit root tests, Johansen cointegration, and vector error correction models (VECM), the paper establishes how these variables impact stock returns over the period 2010?2025. The findings indicate significant long-run and short-run relationships, with GDP and exchange rate showing a strong association with stock market indices, while inflation and interest rates exert negative pressure.

🏷️ Keywords

BSE Sensex Nifty 50 Inflation GDP Interest Rate Exchange Rate Stock Market Time Series Analysis.

🔗 DOI

View DOI - (https://doi.org/10.36713/epra23086)

📚 How to Cite:

Mr. Venkata Rao Valluri , Bhukya Manjunath Naik , IMPACT OF MICROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON BSE SENSEX AND NIFTY: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF INFLATION, GDP, INTEREST RATE, AND EXCHANGE RATE , Volume 12 , Issue 7, july 2025, EPRA International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Studies (EBMS) , DOI: https://doi.org/10.36713/epra23086

🔗 PDF URL

https://cdn.eprapublishing.org/article/202507-07-023086.pdf

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